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📈 Indicators·beginner

Death Cross

When a short-term moving average (typically 50-day) crosses BELOW a long-term moving average (typically 200-day) — a major bearish signal.

A death cross is the bearish opposite of the golden cross. The 50-day moving average crosses BELOW the 200-day moving average, signaling that the long-term trend has shifted from up to down. Like the golden cross, the death cross is widely reported and watched by institutional traders. Death crosses on major indices have historically marked the start of recessions and bear markets. They're not perfect (lots of false signals on choppy assets), but they're good enough that pension funds and asset managers actually adjust risk based on them. The entry strategy is the same as the golden cross but inverted: don't short immediately on the cross — wait for the first PULLBACK back up to the 50 EMA, then short with a tight stop.

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Real trade example

BTCUSD printed a weekly death cross in early 2022 at around $42k. Price dropped to $15k over the following 10 months — a textbook death cross-led bear market.

Frequently asked about death cross

What is a death cross in trading?+
When a short-term moving average (typically 50-day) crosses BELOW a long-term moving average (typically 200-day) — a major bearish signal.
When will I see death cross used in real trading?+
On indices, major forex pairs, and crypto charts. Reported by financial media as a bearish event whenever it happens on a popular asset.
What is the most common mistake traders make with death cross?+
Panicking and selling everything on the death cross. The signal is real but it lags badly. Often the worst of the move has already happened by the time the cross prints.
What do experienced traders know about death cross that beginners don't?+
Death crosses on the WEEKLY chart are far more reliable than daily death crosses. A weekly death cross on SPX500 is one of the most reliable recession indicators in market history.

Related terms

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